Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.014023 0.016286 0.018783 0.021742 0.025152 0.028955 0.033517
2026-01-18 0.010582 0.013485 0.016982 0.021500 0.027173 0.034057 0.043038
2026-01-25 0.008144 0.011251 0.015289 0.020906 0.028503 0.038406 0.052281
2026-02-01 0.006497 0.009640 0.014007 0.020493 0.029852 0.042837 0.062193
2026-02-08 0.005351 0.008463 0.013054 0.020281 0.031325 0.047520 0.073009
2026-02-15 0.004407 0.007390 0.012036 0.019746 0.032160 0.051291 0.082916
2026-02-22 0.003944 0.006972 0.011925 0.020544 0.035081 0.058501 0.098941
2026-03-01 0.003415 0.006344 0.011362 0.020489 0.036569 0.063569 0.112119
2026-03-08 0.002872 0.005594 0.010466 0.019710 0.036680 0.066309 0.121663
2026-03-15 0.002510 0.005109 0.009955 0.019519 0.037762 0.070784 0.134695
2026-03-22 0.002356 0.004995 0.010103 0.020552 0.041191 0.079802 0.156963
2026-03-29 0.002166 0.004775 0.010012 0.021102 0.043753 0.087487 0.177614
2026-04-05 0.001877 0.004310 0.009380 0.020509 0.044039 0.090971 0.190794
2026-04-12 0.001663 0.003974 0.008963 0.020299 0.045072 0.096043 0.207769
2026-04-19 0.001452 0.003606 0.008425 0.019747 0.045306 0.099513 0.221872
2026-04-26 0.001283 0.003307 0.007991 0.019361 0.045840 0.103651 0.237869
2026-05-03 0.001149 0.003069 0.007662 0.019163 0.046757 0.108699 0.256417
2026-05-10 0.001013 0.002805 0.007231 0.018658 0.046893 0.112025 0.271489
2026-05-17 0.000963 0.002755 0.007313 0.019414 0.050119 0.122723 0.304763
2026-05-24 0.000877 0.002591 0.007086 0.019362 0.051364 0.128948 0.328210
2026-05-31 0.000768 0.002349 0.006620 0.018625 0.050785 0.130748 0.341166
2026-06-07 0.000697 0.002199 0.006377 0.018445 0.051617 0.136087 0.363500
2026-06-14 0.000677 0.002201 0.006550 0.019423 0.055642 0.149868 0.408818